How Can Small Businesses and Shops Compete with Private Equity?
The consolidated shops in most markets are running a real playbook now. Phones covered every hour. Leads worked in minutes. Estimate in the customer's hands before the van leaves the job. Photos of the panel and the attic feeding next year's upsell. Published price book so nobody has to negotiate. From outside it looks intimidating and there's been enough money behind it that PitchBook counts north of 800 HVAC, plumbing and electrical acquisitions since 2022. One roll-up went from nothing to 75 brands and 13,000 employees in seven years.
But almost every one of those things used to require a six-figure back office, and now costs a few hundred a month. The systems gap is closing fast, and it's closing in the small operator's favor.
Meanwhile the thing the big shops are genuinely short on is people. ServiceTitan puts electrical turnover around 21% and median tech tenure at three years. A lot of good techs have no interest in being on a leaderboard with a required close rate attached.
So the way I read it: the consolidators are winning on operations and losing on talent. The operations is the half that just got cheap.
What do others think?